Ok Guys this is a follow up of the last dutching blog and hopefully I can give you a couple of ways of finding runners to dutch to add to your portfolio of betting to move your profit forward for the future.
Bet returns calculator - Work out returns for any kind of bet you might place, from accumulators to lucky 15's. Comprehensive and easy to use supporting a wide variety of betting options including each way betting and fold options. All betting sites in the Netherlands shown here on this page do hold a valid online gambling license from one of the relevant licensing jurisdictions. If you’re looking for a safe, secure and reliable site to bet at, simply browse through the list of sites on this page. Free Bet Promotions At Dutch Bookmakers.
Dutching isn’t for everyone but it can be a useful tool in your armory on ways to find profit.
You may ask why do we dutch rather than just bet your best contenders in a race with equal stakes?
Well for me if you have a small price contender of three and they consistently win rather than other contenders then you will be out of pocket as the return for these is obviously lower and you would ultimately lose money, so dutching is the safer option so if one of your contenders does win you gain the same profit whatever.
I’m going to show you strategies on finding contenders for dutching both by simply using the racing post ratings and a couple of other factors which you should be able to use to quickly find dutching contenders for the next days racing.
All you need is the free to use racing post website and a dutching calculator.
Ok selection strategy one.
1. Hurdles and chase races between 2m & 2m 110y
2. Handicaps only
3. Between 8 and 12 runners
4. We are only interested in horses in the top 5 of the weights
5. Once you have the above we are only then interested in the horses in the top 3 racing post ratings from the above 5 (any with the same rating count as one)
6. Once we have cut the field to 3 these runners have to have finished in the top 5 last time out (if the horse fell or unseated rider last time out we use the previous run)
7. If only 2 of the last three qualify last time out that’s fine you just dutch the 2 but only if all 3 don’t match up.
8. When put through the dutching calculator you must have at least a 50% return on investment
9. If all the above criteria are met than you have a bet.
Ok the top 3 are self-explanatory
So step 4 we look at the top 5 in the weights
Step 5 they must the top 3 RPR rated from the 5 :- in this example they all still qualify as any with the same rating count as one.
Step 6 must have finished in the top 5 LTO :- here we lose The Ice Factor because it finished 9th LTO
Now at this stage we still have 4 runners so as to cut it to 3 I would drop the runner with the lowest RPR which is Kai Broon
So we end up with Horse 2,4 and 5
So we stick the odds in the dutching calculator to see if we can get at leat 50% ROI which we clearly do .
This confirms you have a goer and you place your bet.
Horse 5 went on to win the race so we would have collected.
Ok selection strategy two
This one I have been posting selections on my face book page MC Racing and has been 2 from 2 since posting.
1. 5 & 6 furlong AW handicap sprints
2. More than 7 runners
3. Must have its last race between 7 & 35 days
4. From the above we only want the 3 with the highest RPR
5. Must have finished in the top 4 Last time Out
Ok here is the card from today’s qualifying race.
I was asked how we split our stake, as you can see here I am using a dutching calculator so all you do is put in the odds off the contenders add your stake in th total staked box and hit calculate and it does all for you. If you use the betfair exchange then that has a built in one on the race card.
As you can see if you set the card with the highest RPR from top to bottom and then check each runner as we go down you will see that horse 4,1 & 9 are the 3 qualifiers full filling all the criteria.
Dutch of the day
20:45 Kempton
1. New Leyf – 5.4
2. Moiety -5.7
3.Shakee Rose – 6.6
3 points stake
ROI = 95% if we have a winner
New Leyf won the race
With all the above strategies we use a 3 point bet .
I was asked how we split our stake, as you can see here I am using a dutching calculator so all you do is put in the odds off the contenders add your stake in the total staked box and hit calculate and it does all for you. If you use the betfair exchange then that has a built in one on the race card.
If you click the stake button add your stake and the calculator will split the stake to the correct sizes and all you have to do is click place bets and you are done.
Any way have a play around with the above two and have paper bet or two and see how you get on.
I use these to great effect and with a bit of practise you could aswell . you may even be able to adapt them to suit yourselves.
As usual any question feel free to ask .
All The Best
Mick
One of the most potentially profitable ways of gambling as a punter can be when you make a Dutch bet, which is the name for when you back more than one selection in a single event.
However, ensuring you back each selection at the right amount to ensure a profit, whichever selection wins, does require some complex mathematics. This is precisely what the Dutching Calculator below does for you.
How to use the Dutching Calculator
There are two parts to the calculator, here’s how to use it:
Top Section: Entering the prices of each selection
The largest and uppermost section of the Dutching calculator allows you to enter the prices (in decimal format) for up to a dozen selections from any single sporting event.
Simply enter the prize of each of your chosen selections in the white boxes provided.
Once you have completed that you just need to add one more piece of information in the bottom section.
Bottom Section: Entering your Total Stake
In the empty white box at in the bottom section, enter your total stake that you have available to bet on this event. So if you have £100 in your account and want to bet on a specific event, then you would enter 100 here.
Once you have entered the odds of the selections and your total stake available, the calculator will then automatically complete the calculations for you.
The Calculation
What the calculator does is to take the odds for each selection, the number of selections made and the total stake you have available and work out how much you need to place on each selection to ensure the same level of profit regardless of which selection wins.
For example, if you were backing four selections in a horse race at decimal odds of 10.0, 12.0, 5.0 and 2.00 and you had £100 in total to bet on the race, the calculator reveals that you should place: £11.32 on the 10.0 selection, £9.43 on the 12.0, £22.64 on the 5.0 and £56.60 on the 2.00. This would total £100 worth of bets and ensure a return of £113.21 regardless of which of the four selections wins.
Obviously the more selections you make, the more complex the calculation becomes and the less likely you are going to find the calculator offers a viable bet.
What To Watch For
There are times when given the number of selections, odds and the amount you have to bet on the race in total, it is impossible for you to turn a guaranteed profit based on those selections. When this happens, the calculator will display a minus figure in the profit box and the Return if Any Selection Wins will show a figure smaller than the Total Staked box.
For example, let’s say that in the example above, you decide to add a fifth selection, an odds on favourite at odds of 1.45.
Betting Sites Online
After clicking recalculate, the maximum profit now generated on any win is £63.57, and profit is now -£36.43 for each selection. As such, this is not a viable bet to make as even if you win, you will lose money.
It is important to note that you don’t have to back every selection in an event, however this does mean that you are only guaranteed a profit if one of your selections in the bet wins. If another selection wins, then you will lose all your stake.
Dutch bets are a useful tool in the right circumstances, such as a horse race with a large number of runners, no odds-on favourite and where only a handful, say 3,4 or possibly 5 horses have a realistic chance of winning the race.
When used in this way, they can be a useful profit-generating tool for punters, though it should always be remembered that you only guarantee yourself a profit if one of your selection wins. This calculator is a superb way to check any potential Dutch bets to ensure that your bet is profitable and workable.